Israeli forces launched intense airstrikes across Gaza on the 18th, resulting in at least 412 deaths. The Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) said that Israel bears full responsibility for the escalation of the conflict, claiming the ceasefire agreement was overturned by Israel.

以色列军方18日对巴勒斯坦加沙地带多地发动猛烈空袭，已造成至少412人死亡。巴勒斯坦伊斯兰抵抗运动（哈马斯）表示，以色列对此次冲突升级负有全部责任，停火协议被以推翻。

Analysts point out that the stark differences between Israel and Hamas have stalled the second phase of ceasefire talks regarding Gaza, leading to a rapid deterioration and loss of control over the situation. Both sides have now returned to a state of conflict, with no clear timeline for when a ceasefire might be restored.

分析人士指出，以色列与哈马斯立场分歧明显，关于加沙地带停火协议第二阶段谈判迟迟未能启动，导致局势恶化失控。当前，双方重回冲突状态，而何时能再次实现停火很难预料。

Israel and Hamas reached a ceasefire agreement on the Gaza Strip on January 15. During the first phase of the ceasefire, both sides exchanged some detainees, but the process was fraught with setbacks, with each side repeatedly accusing the other of violating the agreement.

以色列和哈马斯1月15日达成加沙地带停火协议。在停火第一阶段，双方交换各自扣押的部分对方人员，但过程波折不断，双方屡屡指责对方违反停火协议。

Analysts point out that Israel's main demand is for Hamas to quickly release all Israeli captives, while Hamas insists on a complete withdrawal of Israeli forces from the Gaza Strip and a permanent ceasefire.

分析人士指出，以色列的主要诉求是哈马斯尽快释放所有以方被扣押人员，而哈马斯则要求以军全面撤出加沙地带、实现永久停火。

Ding Long, a professor at the Middle East Studies Institute of Shanghai International Studies University, pointed out that the stalled second-phase negotiations not only exposed deep divisions among the parties but also led to further deterioration of the situation. "Due to the US favoritism toward Israel and the Israeli pressure, Hamas has become hesitant about releasing the remaining detainees, effectively undermining the foundation of the ceasefire agreement," Ding said.

上海外国语大学中东研究所教授丁隆指出，第二阶段谈判的停滞不仅暴露了各方分歧，也导致局势进一步恶化。“由于美国的偏袒和以色列的施压，哈马斯在释放剩余被扣押人员上产生犹豫，停火协议基础等同于被摧毁。”

Analysts believe that Israel's recent actions targeting multiple Hamas positions in the Gaza Strip, resulting in significant casualties, have shattered the foundation of the previously reached ceasefire agreement. The airstrikes by the Israeli military are likely a precursor to a larger-scale military operation, making it difficult to predict when a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip might be achieved again.

分析人士认为，以军此次行动涉及哈马斯方面在加沙地带的多个目标，造成大量人员伤亡，意味着此前达成的停火协议基础已被破坏，而以军空袭很可能是更大规模军事行动的前奏，加沙何时能再次实现停火难以预料。

According to Ding, considering the strong support of the US for Israel, the rise of right-wing forces within Israel, and Hamas's delay in releasing the detained Israeli personnel, the foundation for ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas no longer exists and the situation is likely to deteriorate further. While efforts from various mediating forces will continue to work towards restoring the ceasefire, the challenges remain significant.

丁隆表示，考虑到美国对以色列的大力支持、以色列国内右翼势力得势以及哈马斯拖延释放以方被扣押人员等因素，以色列与哈马斯停火谈判的基础已不复存在，后续局势可能会进一步恶化。各方斡旋力量仍会努力恢复停火，但难度较大。

With the Gaza Strip once again engulfed in conflict, there are growing concerns that the situation in the Middle East may become even more unstable. Jordan's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi  previously said that the collapse of the ceasefire agreement on the Gaza Strip would not only plunge the Gaza Strip back into hell but also throw the entire Middle East region into anxiety, uncertainty, and chaos.

加沙硝烟再起，外界忧虑中东局势或将更加动荡不安。约旦副首相兼外交大臣艾曼•萨法迪此前表示，加沙停火协议的破裂不仅会再次将加沙拖入地狱，还会令整个中东地区陷入焦虑、不确定和混乱。