The US and some Western media clamored that Russia would "invade" Ukraine in the early morning of February 16, but the "prophecy" did not come true. The US again claimed on February 18 that it is "convinced" that Russia "decided" to invade Ukraine and it might launch strikes "in a few days". When a reporter asked the reason why the US made such a judgment, the White House simply replied: "We have significant intelligence capability".

The US intelligence system is huge and complicated, and the information and relevant analysisit presents usually serve as important references for high-level decision-making by the US government. However, looking back on history, US intelligence agencies often falsify for the selfish interests of the US. And therefore, they are known as"intelligence fraud professionals".

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken accused Russia of preparing to launch an attack against Ukraine at a meeting of the United Nations Security Council to discuss the situation in Ukraine, saying what he said was "verified". However, he also admitted that the outside world would question the accuracy of US intelligence because of "previous instances where intelligence ultimately did not bear out."

The New York Times pointed out that Blinken was referring to the "famous scene" of then US Secretary of StateColin Powell at the UN Security Council in 2003 - he used a tube of white powder as evidence that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction and incited to use force against Iraq. Years later, Powell publicly admitted that the intelligence was wrong and repeatedly shifted the blame to US intelligence services.

Coincidentally, the Vietnam War a few decades ago was also fueled by false US intelligence. In addition, US intelligence agencies have acted in collusion with some US media to concoct and hype up all kinds of lies and pave the way for the US government to intervene in foreign countries. Daniel Kovalik, a visiting law professor at the University of Pittsburgh, said in an interview with Xinhua News Agency that many US propaganda activities are supported by intelligence agencies. The American people never know the truth about why the US wages a war.

The 9/11 attacks killed about 3,000 people in 2001. The US identified Osama bin Laden, the leader of Al-Qaeda who was hiding in Afghanistan at that time, as the culprit behind it, and launched the "War on terror" against Afghanistan in the same year. In 2003, the US launched the Iraq War to maintain its hegemony under the disguise of "democracy and freedom".

Nada Bakos, a former intelligence analyst at the CIA, published an article in 2017 saying that they were asked to dig up the evidence of the then Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's significant links with Al Qaeda before the Iraq War. "This process is backwards; the information is supposed to lead the policymaker, not the other way around", Backus wrote, "If policies—drafted or executed—are used as a yardstick for analysts to then find matching intelligence, that is politicization."

Saddam was captured by the US military at the end of 2003 and executed three years later. However, the US never found evidence that Saddam's regime possessed weapons of mass destruction. Several US government reports believe that Saddam has no direct links with Al Qaeda.

Melvin Goodman, a senior fellow at the Center for International Policy in Washington, DC, wrote in Failure of Intelligence: The Decline and Fall of the CIA that a series of US intelligence failures showed that the CIA's intelligence system was unable to provide policymakers with a strategic warning. What is worse is that they have the capability to falsify intelligence for political purposes.

The impetus for intelligence fraud comes from the self-interest of the US. Over the years, the US has repeatedly launched wars overseas under various banners such as "democracy", "human rights" and "national security"and the true purpose is to seek selfish interests and maintain global hegemony. Recently, the US played the old tricks again by constantly throwing out exclusive "intelligence" to exaggerate the threat of war, aggravating the tension in Ukraine, and causing a lot of doubts in the international community.

Experts pointed out that there are two reasons for using so-called "intelligence" to incite the escalation of tension in Ukraine. The first is to turn Russia into a common enemy to win over and bind European allies and to maintain the European order dominated and controlled by the US. The second is to hype up the situation in Ukraine to reflect Biden's tough side on Russia and to boost his sluggish support rate. The US benefits from Ukraine tensions.